Joe is your average guy, you’d have a pint with him down the local, he loves ice cream, aviators, and Amtrak. Most important of all he’s not under investigation by the FBI. So he’s got a lot of people appeal.
When we look back at the 2016 election another shocking statistic is that Trump won 18 states by less than 250,000 votes. In fact if Hilary received a shift of less than 80,000 votes in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin she would have won the election. I’d question if the Trump rally will bring out as many voters this time around. Two other swing states Trump won in 2016 are Florida & North Carolina and Biden is polling well in these states also. What this boils down to is a very competitive race, it’s hard to say who will win but it’s possible for Joe to win. I think the bookies know this too and as they’ve got a bit nervous about the blue wave in the swing states.